The track record, losses included.

The record

Outcomes

APOLLO ONE. Each plan is graded on the level to level split: 75% off at the first target, 15% at the second, 10% at the third, and any remainder at the logged stop. Risk is the distance from entry to the first stop. R is net of a micro contract round trip of $1.60 and one tick of slippage each side.

TE Signal Sentinel. R is the value the indicator prints at the exit, net of the same micro cost. A plan first seen with no initial risk on record, or an exit read below a stop already locked in, is unresolved. It is never guessed.

Options alerts. R is measured on the premium at risk. The stop is 50% of the entry premium, so a stop out is −1R, and half sold at +100% adds +1R.

Scanner picks. A pick is logged before anything about its outcome is known. It is settled 10 sessions later: entry when price touches the pivot, stop at the invalidation, and the stop counted first when both print on one bar. A pick whose pivot never prints is not triggered, not a loss.

Statuses. Above 0R, loss and flat are settled outcomes and count toward n. Open, armed and not triggered do not. Unresolved means the ledger cannot say what happened, and voided means the ledger’s own reconciler withdrew the read. Both are listed and counted, never dropped.

The claim gate. At 50 settled outcomes a cell shows its share above 0R, its average and its total. The word Verified appears only when four tests all pass on that one instrument: the 50 outcome floor, an always valid sequential test corrected for every cell on this page, a deflated Sharpe at the honest count of every test this program has run, and a live trial ledger. Not yet verified is not evidence of no edge. It means the evidence has not accrued.

What it does not tell you: what the next alert will do, or what your own account would have done.

Hypothetical model estimate

No model has passed its pre-registered test yet.

A model earns this slot only by passing an out-of-sample test that was registered, with its sample window and its pass rule, before the test ran. Until one does, this space stays empty on purpose. It never shows a placeholder number.